[econ] US Politics [trade]

US Politics and Elections
http:// www3.agu.ac.jp / ~vicks62 / jeffreyb / USpolitics. html

2028 US presidential election:
Trash talk and pie in the sky
The greatest responsibility of a statesman is to educate. (FDR)
There is a failure of leadership in both major parties.
2024 Democratic primary elections
2024 Republican primary elections

Roy Kohn's (and now Trump's) three rules:
1) Attack, attack, attack
2) Deny everything, admit nothing
3) Always claim victory, even when you lose

Predictions about Trump's second term:
Retribution [1] [2] [3]
Project 2025 (The Heritage Foundation):
Warnings from liberals [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
Conservative rationalization [0]
The Four Pillars:
1) Mandate for Leadership: The conservative promise
2) A personnel data base
3) The Presidential Administration Academy
4) A playbook for the first 180 days

The Reality of the 47th President's second term
Cabinet
United States DOGE Service

Executive orders starting on Day One
Mass layoffs
Deportation of illegal immigrants
Tariffs as international sanctions

Trump's first term: [1st], [2nd], [3rd], [final year], and COVID
January 6: Trump's full [speech] and the [mob]
What if Trump .... wins?

Third Party Candidates and Independents:
Libertarian Party
Green Party
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. [1]

Electoral College votes

Blue States
Democratic majority
Battleground States
or Independent majority
Red States
Republican majority
California 54
New York 28
  40 Texas
30 Florida
Illinois 19
New Jersey 14
Virginia 13
19 Pennsylvania 19
16 Georgia 16
16 North Carolina 16
15 Michigan 15
17 Ohio
11 Tennessee
11 Indiana
10 Missouri
Washington 12
Massachusetts 11
Maryland 10
Colorado 10
11 Arizona 11
10 Wisconsin 10
9 South Carolina
9 Alabama
8 Kentucky
8 Louisiana
7 Oklahoma
6 Iowa
Minnisota 10
Oregon 8
Connecticut 7
New Mexico 5
Hawaii 4
Maine 4
6 Nevada 6 6 Mississippi
6 Arkansas
6 Utah
6 Kansas
5 Nebraska
4 West Virginia
New Hampshire 4
Rhode Island 4
Delaware 3
Vermont 3
Washington, DC 3
 
  4 Idaho
4 Montana
3 South Dakota
3 North Dakota
3 Alaska
3 Wyoming

Blasts from the past:
1972: Alice Cooper for President, he wants to be elected
2004: Baby Bush vs. Kerry, This Land is My Land
2008: Obama Girl has a crush

2016: Trump vs. Hilary (unbelievable)
2020: Biden vs. Trump
2024: Harris vs. Trump

What's the economic score?
Prices up 17%
Food costs up 25%
Gas prices up 40%
Credit card debt up 46%
Home sales down 26%
Real wages down 2%
Stock prices down
Unemployment up

How about security?
The Doomsday Clock

Some Pivitol Elections
1860: Lincoln vs. Breckenridge
1896: McKinley vs. Bryan
1948: Truman vs. Dewey and Thurmond
1964: Johnson vs. Goldwater
1968: Nixon vs. Humphrey and Wallace
1980: Reagan vs. Carter and Amderson

Upcoming candidates

U.S. Senators Governors Others
Ruben Gallego
(Arizona)
Chris Murphy
(Connecticul)
Jon Ossoff
Raphael Warnock
(Georgia)
Amy Klobuchar
(Minnesota)
Cory Booker
(New Jersey)
Gavin Newsom
(California)
Jared Polis
(Colorado)
J.B. Pritzker
(Illinois)
Andy Beshear
(Kentucky)
Gretchen Whitmer
(Michigan)
Tim Walz
(Minnesota)
Andrew Cuomo
(New York)
Roy Cooper
(N. Carolina)
Josh Shapiro
(Pennsylvania)
  Kamala Harris
(Vice Pres.)
Pete Buttigieg
(Sec. of Transportation)
Rahm Emanuel
(Ambassador)
Ro Khanna
(Rep. CA)
Dean Phillips
(Rep Minn)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(Rep NY)
U.S. Senators Governors Others
Tim Scott
(S. Carolina)
Ted Cruz
(Texas)
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
(Arkansas)
Ron DeSantis
(Florida)
Brian Kemp
(Georgia)
Greg Abbott
(Texas)
Glenn Youngkin
(Virginia)
J.D. Vance
(Vice President)
Marco Pubio
(Sec. of State)
Kristi Noem
(Sec. Homeland Security)
Nikki Haley
(U.N. Ambassador)
Vivek Pamawamy
(businessman)
Steve Bannon
(WH strategist)
Green Party Libertarians Others
Jill Stein
Butch Ware
Chase Oliver
Mike ter Maat
 

Last updated March 2025
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